Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.170547 0.201297 0.235697 0.276991 0.325173 0.379577 0.445631
2025-08-31 0.120304 0.158437 0.205666 0.268295 0.348993 0.449292 0.583236
2025-09-07 0.096427 0.137762 0.192959 0.271707 0.380785 0.526108 0.733934
2025-09-14 0.079662 0.121771 0.181613 0.272288 0.405542 0.593394 0.877358
2025-09-21 0.066215 0.107432 0.169300 0.268114 0.421004 0.647347 1.006267
2025-09-28 0.056513 0.096756 0.160207 0.266448 0.438557 0.704675 1.144924
2025-10-05 0.051796 0.093059 0.161043 0.279762 0.480090 0.801976 1.354744
2025-10-12 0.048537 0.091167 0.164302 0.297036 0.529511 0.916353 1.603578
2025-10-19 0.044280 0.086787 0.162582 0.305290 0.564228 1.009611 1.826567
2025-10-26 0.039496 0.080662 0.156852 0.305458 0.584399 1.079617 2.016136
2025-11-02 0.034211 0.072748 0.146721 0.296069 0.585807 1.116249 2.149482
2025-11-09 0.029082 0.064343 0.134493 0.280980 0.574463 1.128055 2.237753
2025-11-16 0.026074 0.060082 0.130258 0.281925 0.595890 1.206325 2.465983
2025-11-23 0.022517 0.054100 0.121758 0.273216 0.597376 1.247332 2.628582
2025-11-30 0.020499 0.051195 0.119275 0.276701 0.624129 1.340692 2.905066
2025-12-07 0.018512 0.048020 0.115719 0.277293 0.644665 1.423394 3.168368
2025-12-14 0.016444 0.044293 0.110362 0.273045 0.653957 1.483388 3.390057
2025-12-21 0.014802 0.041341 0.106367 0.271350 0.668653 1.556274 3.646985
2025-12-28 0.014214 0.041023 0.108645 0.284899 0.720177 1.715244 4.110573
2026-01-04 0.013863 0.041279 0.112372 0.302476 0.783306 1.906656 4.666895
2026-01-11 0.013065 0.040167 0.112458 0.310875 0.825074 2.053183 5.134307
2026-01-18 0.011968 0.038014 0.109518 0.311046 0.846339 2.153694 5.503355
2026-01-25 0.010590 0.034794 0.103240 0.301492 0.841580 2.191192 5.724374